New Delhi: The Indian team's disappointing loss to Bangladesh will not be forgotten for a long time, but it is not the end of the road for India.
The question that is in the mind of every Indian cricket fan right now is whether India will be able to make it to the Super-Eight stage. Let's see what the numbers tell.
After Sri Lanka's win over Bangladesh, India now have to just beat Sri Lanka without worrying about the Net Run-Rate. After getting thrashed by 198 runs, Bangladesh have done no good to their chances of qualifying for the next round. Their NRR has come down to - 2.0018 after the game against Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka now head the Group B with an NRR of +4.5937. India are second with a net run-rate of +2.507.
A victory by even one run (batting first) or off the last ball (batting second) over Sri Lanka will take India through to the next stage.
If Sri Lanka score 250 and India successfully chase the target off the last ball, Sri Lanka will end up as the group topper with an NRR of +3.0136. India will finish with an NRR of +1.6730.
Since Bangladesh will be playing their last league match against Bermuda after the India-Sri Lanka game, theoretically they will have a chance to better India's NRR, but to do this Bangladesh have to produce something out of the world.
In such a scenario, to beat India on NRR, the target for Bangladesh against Bermuda will be:
If Bangladesh bat first, Bangladesh have to score 600 and restrict Bermuda to 168.
Bangladesh have to score 550 and restrict Bermuda to 117.
Bangladesh have to score 500 and restrict Bermuda to 67.
Bangladesh have to score 450 and restrict Bermuda to 16.
If Bermuda bat first, Bangladesh can not overhaul India's NRR even if they bundle out Bermuda for a total of 50 and achieve the target in the first over itself!
India's NRR will remain around +1.65 even if they register a win over Sri Lanka with the narrowest of margins - batting first or second. There will be a slight change in Bangladesh's target in the last league match depending upon the victory margin for India, but it is obvious that the target will only become more difficult for Bangladesh if the victory margin for India is more.
India can also make it to the Super-Eight despite losing to Sri Lanka on Friday, but for that Bangladesh have to lose to Bermuda.
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Total Comments: 4
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Posted By sundar
India must concentrate, and most of working for the publicity so that its (failure)is happening.
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Posted By Prasanna
Good one man.
Thanks for Xplaning that so clearly.
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Posted By prakaash
Is it? I thought India has already reached Super 8s. The way Sidhus, Karims, Patils and the likes have been
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Posted By Vishal
Well.. i agree the article has lots of flaws..but the fact is now its very diff for bangladesh to reach
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